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Geographic Information
Systems and Public Health:
|
| Thomas
B. Richards, MD Charles M. Croner, PhD Gerard Rushton, PhD Carol K. Brown, MS Littleton Fowler, DDS |
Public
Health Reports
1999;114:359-373.
Reproduced here with the permission of Oxford University Press.
LOOKING
toward the 21st century, we anticipate that health planning, particularly
at the community level, will be substantially improved by developments
in informatics -- that is, through the application of information science
and technology to public health practice and research.
We believe
that geographic information system (GIS) technology will be an important
part of the toolkit to support this capability, but only if epidemiologic
principles and methods provide the foundation for the data analyses
to be displayed in GIS maps.
During
the 1990s, local government use of GIS technology has grown substantially.
Based on
informal discussions with representatives of many local public health
departments, the National Association of County and City Health Officials
(NACCHO) reports that interest in GIS technology has increased during
the 1990s, but many local public health departments still do not have
the software, hardware, or trained staff that would enable them to apply
GIS technology.
One of the initial steps in any GIS project is to geocode (georeference) each data record to the desired level of accuracy (for example, county, Census tract, Census block, US Postal Service zip code, or street address). (The smallest area of US Bureau of Census geography is the Census block. In urbanized areas, a Census block typically is a quadrangle bounded by four streets (a city block). In sparsely populated areas, a Census block has a population of about 70 people and is bounded by visible features such as roads, streams, or railroad tracks or by invisible boundaries such as city or county limits. In rural areas, a block may encompass many square miles.)
During
the 1990s, geocoded public health data have been in relatively short
supply, limited to states with initiatives to geocode vital statistics
data or to individual investigators who could geocode their own data.
In a 1997 survey of state Vital Statistics Project Directors, only 21
of 49 respondents reported that their states had some type of automated
geocoding of vital statistics.
The growing interest in GIS applications in public health is illustrated by the Third National Conference on GIS in Public Health, held in San Diego in August 1998. Participants addressed a wide variety of topics, ranging from the use of satellite images to measure ocean temperatures and forecast cholera epidemics in India to the use of global positioning system (GPS) technology to determine latitude-longitude coordinates for locations of billboards with cigarette advertisements in relation to school bus routes.
Epidemiologic principles and methods provide the foundation for public health and preventive medicine. To avoid drawing false conclusions from maps, users of GIS technology need to understand and apply these principles and methods in formulating study questions, testing hypotheses about cause-and-effect relationships, and critically evaluating how data quality, confounding factors, and bias may influence the interpretation of results. Conversely, epidemiologists need to be able to understand and critically evaluate maps prepared using modern GIS software, data, and spatial statistical methods.
A recent
special issue of the Journal of Public Health Management and Practice
was devoted to GIS technology. (A second special issue is due out in
July 1999.) In an editorial, Melnick and Fleming discuss the "promise
and pitfalls" of GIS technology.
Another
potential problem with drawing conclusions from maps is that, as Monmonier
writes, "Not only is it easy to lie with maps, it's essential...."
With advances in desk-top computing, it will become easier to produce multiple maps using different data sources and different methods, each offering a unique perspective on an issue. Again, the principles and methods of epidemiology need to be applied to evaluate the strengths and limitations of the data and the science "behind" the maps, in order to identify the map (or maps) that convey the most truthful messages.
The ability
to invest in GIS hardware, software, and data may enable those with
greater resources to be more influential in communicating their "selective,
incomplete view of reality" to community decision makers.
The phrase
"geographic information systems" was first used in the 1960s to refer
to a computerized system for asking questions of maps showing current
and potential land use in Canada.
From a community health planning perspective, the Federal Geographic Data Committee (FGDC) definition provides a useful starting point:
A computer system for the input, storage, maintenance, management, retrieval, analysis, synthesis, and output of geographic or location-based information. In the most restrictive usage, GIS refers only to hardware and software. In common usage, it includes hardware, software, and data. When organizations refer to their GIS, this latter usage is usually what they mean. For some, GIS also implies the people and procedures involved in GIS operation.
( 12 )
The inclusion of "people" and "procedures" as part of the definition is essential for GIS applications in a public health context, given the need to link the science and methods of epidemiology to GIS maps. Without trained staff, one scenario is that the GIS software will not be used at all (given the time and staff constraints that exist in many public health agencies and organizations). Alternatively, without trained staff and standardized procedures, the technology may be used to develop maps that are invalid or misleading.
Several advantages of GIS technology for public health practice, planning, and research are as follows:
(a) GIS technology improves the ability of practitioners, planners, and researchers to organize and link datasets (for example, by using geocoded addresses or geographic boundaries). Geography provides a near-universal link for sorting and integrating records from multiple information sources into a more coherent whole. This ability to link datasets can help public health practitioners plan more cost-effective interventions. For example, suppose that a childhood lead poisoning prevention program could access residential databases maintained by the tax assessor's office and map the street addresses of houses built before 1950 (when lead-based paint was commonly used). Suppose that the prevention program could also access hospital and managed care plan electronic databases to identify street addresses for new births. Combining these datasets, the program could apply GIS technology to identify infants at high risk for exposure to lead-based paint and send a public health worker to follow up with specific households. By matching the addresses of these infants to a street map (from a "topologically integrated geographic encoding and referencing" [TIGER] file), using the "address-match" and "route-scheduling" functions of GIS software, the health worker can implement an efficient schedule of household visitations.
(b) GIS
technology provides public health practitioners and researchers with
several new types of data. For example, with GIS technology, local public
health departments can use global positioning systems (GPS) to receive
signals from satellites to determine latitude-longitude coordinates
for point locations not found in TIGER files, such as rural residences,
wells, and septic tanks. Public health practitioners can also use digital
imagery from satellites or aerial photos to add details to (or improve
the accuracy of) a mapping project (for examples of digital imagery,
see www.terraserver.com, www.spaceimaging.com,
www.ogeta.com, or www.usgs.org).
If a sequence of digital images for a small area of interest is available,
automated change detection can be used to observe changes over time,
such as the addition of housing developments, roads, and landfills and
other changes in land use and land cover. Public health practitioners
can also begin to explore the utility of data collected by marketing
firms about consumer spending patterns, retail expenditures, and lifestyle
segmentation profiles (for examples, see www.natdecsys.com,
www.demographics.com, or www.claritis.com).
Businesses use these marketing data to identify likely customers--for
example, to optimize targeting of cigarette advertising. Public health
practitioners could also potentially use these data to identify the
best "customers" for prevention interventions--for example, anti-smoking
programs.
(c) GIS technology encourages the formation of data partnerships and data sharing at the community level. For example, to develop a map of motor vehicle injuries and fatalities in a community, a local public health department could develop data partnerships with the Department of Transportation (for information about traffic flow and accidents), local ambulance services (for information about injuries requiring transportation by ambulance to hospital emergency rooms), and the Medical Examiner's office (for information about fatalities). Some GIS projects may be feasible only if all parts of local government join together and contribute (for example, developing a regional data warehouse or obtaining digital aerial photos or satellite images for an entire region).
(d) As
new GIS methods are developed, they can be added to the "toolkits" of
epidemiology and health services research. For example, for an exploratory
data analysis in response to community concern about an apparent excess
of cancer cases, tests for spatial randomness (such as the spatial scan
statistic described by Kulldorff
(e) Compared
with tables and charts, maps developed using GIS technology can be an
extremely effective tool to help community decision makers visualize
and understand a public health problem.
The Figure shows a "smoothed" map of infant mortality rates in southeast Des Moines, Iowa, that was prepared for a public meeting. Births and infant deaths in this area for 1989 - 1992 were geocoded by matching addresses in vital statistics records to the US Census data TIGER files of streets for the area. The contour lines show the variations in infant mortality rates; the highest rates were found near the McKinley School and the drive-in theater. (The feature names are from the digital data files of the US Geological Survey's 1:24,000 Quadrangle Series, available for most of the US.)
The circle shows the size of the spatial filter used to "smooth" the map. (Small filters show more geographic detail but risk showing patterns of random variability; high-rate areas on such maps are often due to chance variability in incidence of the disease or condition, as discussed above. Consequently, the study of such maps should involve comparing results of varying sizes of spatial filters and statistical analyses of the apparent patterns to determine significant clusters.)
At the meeting, members of the public could comment on specific locations of interest. With each click of the mouse on the map, a circle appeared around the point selected and a box appeared on the screen showing the numbers of births and infant deaths within the area of the circle. This dynamic feature of geographic information technology (the ability to display information linked to the map) can be very useful to public health practitioners and the public in identifying problems and in searching for solutions. By quickly showing the information on which differences in rates are based, this feature helps avoid erroneous interpretations of rate differences that are based on small numbers.
Some of the current limitations of GIS technology from a public health perspective are as follows:
(a) Community
health planning and other public health applications remain a relatively
underdeveloped marketplace niche for GIS technology. The Department
of Housing and Urban Development's Community 2020 software represents
an important first effort by a federal agency to integrate GIS technology
into community health planning.
(b) Current, accurate, low-cost base street maps are essential for epidemiologic uses. Without an up-to-date base street map, for example, a public health practitioner investigating a disease outbreak may have to spend considerable extra time and effort to digitize the locations of cases or may not be able to map all case reports. Current and accurate base street maps are especially needed for urban areas with high growth and for those rural areas where residents only have post office box addresses.
(c) Practitioners,
planners, and researchers, and especially state and local public health
department staff, need training and user support in GIS technology,
data, and epidemiologic methods in order to use GIS technology appropriately
and effectively. The cost of training programs offered by commercial
GIS vendors can be a financial burden for a small local public health
agency or individual practitioner ($500 to $1000 for a two- to three-day
course is common). GIS training programs specifically custom-designed
for public health professionals are still relatively limited or in the
early stages of development. At least two groups have started to "break
the ice" in this area. Gerard Rushton, PhD, at the University of Iowa,
has developed a CD-ROM on "Improving Public Health Through Geographic
Information Systems,"
(d) Statistical
and epidemiological methods need to be developed to protect individual
and household confidentiality.
(e) GIS
software continues to evolve rapidly; typically, a new iteration (or
upgrade) is released about every 18 months.
(f) The
technology to prepare and display maps on the Web is still in the very
early stages of development.
The next two to three years will see exciting developments in public health applications of GIS technology:
First,
we anticipate that an increasing number of state public health departments
will use automated geocoding for some or all of their vital statistics
data. The geographic information included in vital records can play
a critical role in the distribution of state and federal funds for infrastructure,
community development, public education, and initiatives such as Healthy
Start.
Second,
we anticipate that public health practitioners and researchers will
apply GIS technology to analyze data from disease registries, to track
patterns and trends in, for example, disease incidence, stage at diagnosis
for many cancers, survival, mortality, and use of medical services.
Public health agencies, managed care organizations, and other providers
will study these geographic patterns to develop and locate services
that address the needs of areas which are identified as disproportionately
sharing the burden of particular diseases. The Surveillance Implementation
Group of the National Cancer Institute, for example, recently recommended
that future studies "explore the feasibility and utility of employing
GIS for geocoding surveillance data and reporting geographic relationships
among screening measures, risk factors (including environmental exposures),
and improved cancer outcomes...."
GIS-related
statistical and epidemiological methods will be improved, and new methods
will be developed. Promising areas include the use of spatial scan statistics
to identify disease clusters; the use of smoothed mapping techniques
to display and distinguish differences in rates at the neighborhood
level; and multi-level spatial models to better evaluate and distinguish
biologic, contextual, and ecologic effects.
Over the
next two to three years, we also anticipate that new software products
and training materials will be developed to facilitate wider use of
GIS technology by state and local public health practitioners. Training
materials will need to be in a variety of formats to facilitate learning
at a distance (for example, CD-ROMs; self-instruction training courses
on the Web; and national educational broadcasts via satellite). Low-cost,
public domain software solutions are needed, especially for small local
public health agencies and programs with limited resources. As noted
above, NACCHO is currently working
to identify support and partnerships to integrate GIS technology, data,
and methods with its community planning tools. In addition, the Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is currently developing Epi
Info 2000, a Windows NT/95/98 version of the public domain Epi Info
and Epi Map computer software tools.
Over the next few years, an increasing number of state public health departments and other public health agencies are likely to explore development of websites that employ GIS software, data, and methods. In some states, access may be restricted; selected staff members of local public health departments may use passwords to download confidential datasets geocoded by the state public health department. Some states may also begin to explore Web-enabled GIS applications; local health departments could then add their own data and custom-design their own GIS maps. (For early prototypes of interactive Internet mapping, see www.ciesin.org and www.epa.gov/enviro.)
We also
anticipate that, over the next few years, there will be increasing discussion
of ways to best protect individual and household confidentiality in
a GIS environment. These discussions are likely to result in the development
of new statistical and epidemiologic methods to assure data confidentiality,
such as methods that mask the geographic location of data but still
permit meaningful analysis
In the near future, public health practitioners will increasingly have access to aerial photos and satellite digital images, to data from global positioning systems (GPS), and to lifestyle segmentation marketing data. For example, Georgia's Geographic Information Systems Coordinating Committee has recently begun working to develop low-cost, high resolution images (Digital Orthophoto Quarter Quadrangles, or DOQQs) for the entire state. In 1998, the state entered into an agreement with the US Geological Survey to acquire updated aerial photographs through the National Aerial Photography Program. The total cost will be about $1.5 million for more than 4000 DOQQs covering the entire state.
Similarly, the Washington State Department of Health began a project in 1998 in which GPS technology is being used to develop a 10-county regional database on water systems, including information on well depth, ownership, test results, inspection dates, and number of connections.
With regard
to lifestyle segmentation marketing data, we anticipate increased research
in the near future on how to use GIS technology to improve the development,
production, and delivery of health promotion and education information
for national, state, and local campaigns. Private sector marketing firms
have developed ways to categorize consumer behavior patterns at the
neighborhood level and to select the best media channels to advertise
a product to a specific market segment. Although public health agencies
may decide to lease lifestyle segmentation marketing information databases
from commercial vendors, the cost is relatively expensive (as much as
$40,000 for a national database). With the help of GIS technology, public
health researchers should be able to develop a low cost, public domain
analog. These public health lifestyle segmentation profiles could potentially
be linked to national surveys such as the CDC Behavioral Risk Factor
Surveillance System and then used to develop behavioral risk factor
projections at the community level. Along these lines, the Health Care
Financing Administration is starting to explore the use of segmentation
and cluster profiling of populations eligible for services under Medicare,
Medicaid, the Children's Health Insurance Program, and the Health Insurance
Portability and Accountability Care Act (approximately 70 million people)
to help the agency "in its outreach, health promotions, educational
campaigns, and in identifying the best channels for reaching these beneficiaries."
Finally, we anticipate that community knowledge and sophistication about the application and interpretation of GIS technology will increase and that a variety of interested groups will develop GIS maps in addition to the maps developed by government public health agencies. The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) provides training so that community representatives can use HUD Community 2020 software at the neighborhood level. GIS training is now being included in science programs in some schools as early as the 9th grade; the National Geographic Society and Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc. [ESRI], currently co-sponsor an annual competition for GIS projects by high school students. In addition, the US Geological Survey, a number of other federal agencies, and ESRI have been involved in developing annual Summer Faculty Geographic Information System Workshops for the Historically Black Colleges and Universities.
Over the
next 5 to 10 years, we expect to see growth in local data partnerships
and regional GIS consortia with shared data and automated systems. Three
examples of early prototypes along these lines are the San
Diego Regional Urban Information System in California; the Louisville/
Jefferson County Information Consortium in Kentucky; and the vision
for the Clackamas County Community Health Mapping Engine in Oregon described
by Melnick et al.
Within 10 years, it is likely that public health practitioners will be able to perform spatial analyses on their computers through the Web in a cost-effective fashion. We anticipate the development of GIS software tools specifically custom-designed for use by local public health departments and other local agencies and organizations with limited staff and resources. To some extent, GIS technology even may become embedded in public health practice to the extent that the technology is so deeply "buried" that it is invisible to the worker. For example, with "embedded" GIS technology, a public health nurse would enter the laboratory data for a childhood lead poisoning prevention program into a computer program, and the computer would automatically generate a GIS map displaying the locations of cases needing follow-up.
As the number of public health practitioners applying GIS technology begins to increase, we also anticipate there will be increasing demand to share GIS maps. For example, suppose public health department X and neighboring public health department Y are addressing a common infectious disease problem and they would like to join their independently developed geographic information systems maps into a common map for both jurisdictions. Doing so requires consensus on issues such as the software to be used, the baseline street map for geocoding cases, the scale, the projection (i.e., the method for representing the curved surface of the earth on a flat surface), case definitions, sources for case reports, the time period for the study, and so forth.
Given the
frequent need for sharing and, in some cases, combining maps, we anticipate
more efforts at the local, state, and federal levels to develop standards
for a national public health spatial data infrastructure.
A rise and fall in enthusiasm is a typical part of the life cycle of any technologic innovation: Early adopters demonstrate initial success. The majority then begin to "jump on the band wagon," and some experience problems or incorrectly apply the technology. Critics then denounce limitations and abuses, and the popularity of the technology may decline. Ultimately, a middle ground is recognized between enthusiasts and critics, where the technology can be demonstrated to be most useful. In terms of this framework, public health applications of GIS technology in 1999 are still in the early stages.
Many challenges remain that will need to be addressed before the full potential of GIS technology can be realized for public health practice, planning, and research. Longer-term solutions are likely to require a series of small successes, carefully built upon in incremental fashion over time. One of the greatest challenges for public health applications will be to incorporate epidemiologic principles and methods into the analysis to be mapped. Another major challenge will be to develop methods and procedures to assure the confidentiality of individuals and individual households. A continuing local/state/national dialogue, interagency and private-public partnerships, and uniform local/state/federal standards will be needed to address these challenges.
The authors thank Aniruddha Banerjee, MA, Department of Geography, University of Iowa, Iowa City, for preparing the Figure.
Dr. Richards is a Medical Officer with the Public Health Practice Program Office at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta. Dr. Croner is the Editor of Public Health GIS News and Information and a Geographer/Statistician with the Office of Research and Methodology, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC, Hyattsville, MD. Dr. Rushton is a Professor of Geography and Adjunct Professor of Preventive Medicine, University of Iowa, and a member of the editorial boards of Location Science, Geographical Information Systems, and Applied Geographical Studies. Ms. Brown is the Director of Research and Development, National Association of County and City Health Officials, Washington DC. Dr. Fowler is the President of the Association of State and Territorial Local Health Liaison Officials and Programs Administrator, Cleveland County Health Department, Norman, OK.
![]() Dr. Tom Richards |
![]() Dr. Charles Croner |
![]() Dr. Gerry Rushton |
![]() Dr. Littleton Fowler |
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Dr. Richards |
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